DISTRIBUTING TO THE PROCESS OF MANAGING THE SECURITY OF A CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE

Abstract

The work is devoted to the substantiation of objective contradictions in the process of safety management of a critical infrastructure facility. It is shown that the main goal of managing the safety of a critical infrastructure facility (or managing an emergency of a natural, man-made or terrorist nature at this facility) is to prevent a catastrophic event around which an emergency situation develops, and in the event of its (catastrophic event) occurrence, to minimize damage and possible consequences. To study this goal, the following scientific problems were solved. First, the definition of the term “process of safety management of a critical infrastructure facility” is given. The term process of safety management of a critical infrastructure facility is understood as the activities of the enterprise management and its security system to eliminate external and internal threats to its existence and functioning, caused by potential (predictable) catastrophic events of a natural, man-made and terrorist nature. Secondly, the main principles of managing the security processes of the enterprise and their mathematical formalization are formulated. It is shown that safety management of a critical infrastructure facility is ultimately reduced to the development of mathematical models of the occurrence of a specific catastrophic event at this facility and its (mathematical model) subsequent use for the development of preventive measures to prevent the onset of this catastrophic event, and in the event of its occurrence - to minimize possible consequences. Thirdly, some systemic contradictions in the process of managing the safety of a critical infrastructure facility have been identified. There are objective contradictions in the two approaches used to manage the safety of critical infrastructure facilities. In the first case, when the time of the onset of a catastrophic event is an unlimited random variable, a theoretical accident occurs in millions of years, which makes the safety management models of facilities incorrect. In the second case, when the time of the onset of a catastrophic event is a limited random value, a theoretical accident occurs one hundred percent during the operation of the facility, which also contradicts common sense and makes incorrect estimates of the probability of the risk of a catastrophic event.