ASSESSMENT OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE CIVIL DEFENSE SYSTEM FOR PREVENTION AND ELIMINATION OF THE CONSEQUENCES OF EMERGENCIES IN THE BORDER AREAS OF UKRAINE

Abstract

The article provides a comprehensive assessment of the effectiveness of the civil protection system for the prevention and elimination of the consequences of emergencies (ES) in the border regions of Ukraine. The relevance of the study is due to the increase in the number and complexity of emergencies in the region, which have both natural and man-made, social and military origins.. Particular attention is paid to the specifics of border areas, which are an area of increased risk due to cross-border threats, the complexity of coordinating actions, and the low level of resource provision.
The paper analyzes the theoretical foundations of the classification of emergencies, the regulatory and legal field, and international experience, which allowed us to highlight the peculiarities of the functioning of the civil protection system in border areas. Mathematical models have been developed to quantify response efficiency, taking into account the arrival time of rescue units, the level of resource provision, coordination between services, and public awareness.
The proposed mathematical models allow predicting possible losses, identifying bottlenecks in the response system, and optimizing resource allocation.
The conducted experimental study confirmed the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed mathematical models in the context of preventing and eliminating emergencies in border regions. Analysis of simulated scenarios demonstrated a significant reduction in response time, increased efficiency of evacuation measures, and a reduction in the number of casualties. Digital solutions, prior training of personnel, and coordinated interagency cooperation played a significant role in this. The results of the study confirm the need to strengthen interagency cooperation, modernize the material and technical base, and implement modern monitoring and alerting technologies.