THEORETICAL APPROACHES FOR STUDYING THE REGULARITY OF THE INFLUENCE OF FIRE PROTECTION SYSTEMS ON THE LEVEL OF INDIVIDUAL FIRE RISK

  • Nizhnyk Vadim Institute of Public Administration and Scientific Research on Civil Protection
  • Olesia Savchenko Institute of Public Administration and Scientific Research on Civil Protection
  • Valeria Nekora Institute of Public Administration and Scientific Research on Civil Protection
Keywords: fire risk, fire protection systems, impact factors, assessment criteria, fire hazard parameters, consequences, fire risk assessment, fire risk management

Abstract

It is shown that fire protection systems have an impact on fire risks. Based on the analysis of literary sources and regulatory documents, it was established that the impact of fire protection systems on the value of individual fire risk is not researched and has no scientific basis to date, but is based only on expert methods. The purpose of the work, its object and the subject of research are formulated, research tasks are defined, the solution of which will make it possible to achieve the set goal, and scientific methods for solving the tasks are given. A formalized approach to assessing individual fire risk is given. It is shown that the coefficient of effective functioning of the fire protection system is one of the parameters that can be used to quantitatively assess the impact of fire protection systems on the value of individual fire risk. The theoretical aspects for establishing the regularity of the effectiveness of the fire protection systems on the consequences of a fire using two approaches based on the methods of the theory of probability, which are based on the use of statistical data on fires and field models using modern computer software complexes (FDS) are disclosed. In particular, new approaches are proposed for establishing the probability (coefficient) of the effectiveness of fire protection systems, the probability (coefficient) of facilities being equipped with fire protection systems, and the probability (coefficient) of fire protection systems being serviceable. A list of events and a description of the most appropriate fire development scenarios are offered, the analysis of which will allow to quantitatively establish the effectiveness of the fire protection system during a fire. A method of theoretical study of the regularity of the effect of the effectiveness of the functioning of fire protection systems on the value of individual fire risk is proposed.

Published
2023-08-01
Issue
Vol. 7 No. 1 (2023): Collection of Scientific Papers of Cherkasy Institute of Fire Safety named after Chornobyl Heroes of National University of Civil Protection of Ukraine «Emergency Situations: Prevention and Liquidation»
Section
Статті